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Risks and outlook for the Bulgarian economy though the prism of net exports
Most analyses of the external trade usually tend to be focused on the growth of exports and imports as a whole or by product categories, but few of them actually focus on the dynamics of net exports (exports minus imports). A look on the official statistics reveals some interesting trends regarding external trade.
On one hand, ...
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The credit rating of Bulgaria improves in comparative perspective
The big news from yesterday, Friday, January 13, 2012 is the reduction of the credit rating of 9 Eurozone members, among which France and Austria, which lost their AAA rating. The dynamics of interest rates on government bonds, the several not so successful auctions and the rising price of credit default swaps (CDS) reveal...
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Subcription for Industry Watch reports in 2012
The global financial crisis in 2008 and the subsequent recession in advanced economies showed how important it is to be aware of the risks, stemming from the ongoing monetary and fiscal policies.
It also came clear that although in the short run markets are influenced by “animal spirits”, in the end the fundamental ...
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Household financial wealth and the housing market in Bulgaria, Q3 2011
Industry Watch distributed among its subscribers the quarterly report “Personal Assets: Household Financial Wealth and the Housing Market, Q3 2011". Here are the highlights of the report.
The household financial wealth increased to BGN 41 billion as of end-June 2011. Compared to the previous quarter, notably increase...
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New report by Industry Watch: Sustainable recovery or new recession: Macro risks and prospects for main industries in 2011-2012
The European Union is the main trade partner of Bulgaria so the Bulgarian economy follows in the footsteps of the EU market recovery. At the end of 2010 the GDP of Bulgaria started recovering gradually but it was only export-driven. At present it is of utmost importance whether Europe is steadily leaving the crisis behind or a r...
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The place of the Bulgarian capital market in Europe in the aftermath of the crisis
А number of measures, including the sale of the Bulgarian Stock Exchange to a strategic foreign investor, which could attract more foreign institutional investors, have been publicly discussed in the recent months. From this perspective, it is useful to examine the state and dynamics of the Bulgarian stock market in relative ter...
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Open budget initiative 2010: International index of budget transparency
Bulgaria reported small decline in the budget transparency and is still far from the best examples for budget transparency in the world, according to the announced on Oct. 20th Open Budget Initiative 2010.
By one percentage point - from 57% to 56% declined the budget transparency in Bulgaria. Accordingly, Bulgaria is not among ...
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Personal Assets in Bulgaria and the Housing Market in Q2 2010
Household financial wealth continued to increase, exceeding BGN 37 billion as of end-June 2010. The growth rate of the personal assets of Bulgarians accelerated again to over 10% annually.
Total household indebtedness to banks, leasing companies and specialized credit companies fell by 3% annually. Increased savings in combin...